← HADR research library

Adaptation portfolio – a multi-measure framework for future floods and droughts

Saritha Padiyedath Gopalan, Naota Hanasaki, Adisorn Champathong, Taikan Oki

2024 · npj Natural Hazards, 1, 48 · Modelling study

Full-text sections checked

Publisher HTML: Results—Flood risk, Drought risk and interactions (Figs. 2–3); Discussion; Methods—Enhanced H08 model, Model simulation and Validation.

Checked16 October 2026 · Chao Phraya River basin, Thailand

Thai/English summaries are project paraphrases, not official translations or endorsement of the original study.

Research question

Can combined measures contain future flood and drought risks?

Method and context

Enhanced H08 hydrological modelling tests seven measures in three portfolios, using three climate models and two warming scenarios.

Study summary

Simulations compare 1980–1999 with 2080–2099 while representing reservoirs, canals and water demand. The analysis examines both benefits and conflicts between adaptation measures.

Findings

Ambitious reforestation reduces simulated flooding but worsens water scarcity; even intensive portfolios leave extreme flood risk.

Contribution

Makes flood–drought trade-offs explicit instead of optimizing one hazard alone.

Interpretation limits

Authors identify uncertainty from climate models, fixed socioeconomic conditions, spatial resolution and assumed continued infrastructure operation.

Connect evidence to KSEC / OBE

Project-proposed critical-appraisal evidence, not research findings or accreditation criteria from the original authors.

K
Explain the question, concepts and findings with locators in the original.
S
Compare methods, variables and limitations with another study before designing a test or CPX.
E
Separate reported results from your proposals, cite originals and examine implications for vulnerable groups.
C
Record responses to critique and revisions after new evidence. Observe behaviour repeatedly, not from a single reading.

Related learning modules

Related knowledge domains

Original-study citation

Saritha Padiyedath Gopalan; Naota Hanasaki; Adisorn Champathong; Taikan Oki (2024). Adaptation portfolio – a multi-measure framework for future floods and droughts. npj Natural Hazards, 1, 48. https://doi.org/10.1038/s44304-024-00048-1

Verify details against the original and format for your journal or institution. Titles and author names follow the source.

← Browse more research